Event
US Open
Round
R32
Surface
HARD
Level
GRAND SLAM
Format
BEST OF 5
Date
2026-09-04

Match preview

Yibing WuvsCarlos Alcaraz

Community consensus

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Model output

Reading model output

  • The bar shows estimated win chance on a 0–100% scale.
  • The middle marker is the best estimate.
  • The range around it shows how certain that estimate is.
  • Wider ranges mean less certainty.
Yibing Wu logo

Yibing Wu

LOWER
0.00%
PREDICTED
3.49%
UPPER
6.19%
Carlos Alcaraz logo

Carlos Alcaraz

LOWER
93.81%
PREDICTED
96.51%
UPPER
100.00%

Predicted scores

ALCARAZ WINS 3-0

74.54%

LOWER

72.46%

PREDICTED

74.54%

UPPER

77.24%

ALCARAZ WINS 3-1

16.52%

LOWER

16.06%

PREDICTED

16.52%

UPPER

17.12%

ALCARAZ WINS 3-2

5.45%

LOWER

5.30%

PREDICTED

5.45%

UPPER

5.65%

WU WINS 3-1

1.29%

LOWER

0.00%

PREDICTED

1.29%

UPPER

2.28%

WU WINS 3-2

1.29%

LOWER

0.00%

PREDICTED

1.29%

UPPER

2.28%

WU WINS 3-0

0.92%

LOWER

0.00%

PREDICTED

0.92%

UPPER

1.63%