Event
US Open
Round
R32
Surface
HARD
Level
GRAND SLAM
Format
BEST OF 5
Date
2026-09-05

Match preview

Valentin VacherotvsFrances Tiafoe

Community consensus

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Model output

Reading model output

  • The bar shows estimated win chance on a 0–100% scale.
  • The middle marker is the best estimate.
  • The range around it shows how certain that estimate is.
  • Wider ranges mean less certainty.
Valentin Vacherot logo

Valentin Vacherot

LOWER
26.15%
PREDICTED
34.00%
UPPER
41.19%
Frances Tiafoe logo

Frances Tiafoe

LOWER
58.81%
PREDICTED
66.00%
UPPER
73.85%

Predicted scores

TIAFOE WINS 3-0

28.56%

LOWER

25.45%

PREDICTED

28.56%

UPPER

31.96%

TIAFOE WINS 3-1

21.78%

LOWER

19.41%

PREDICTED

21.78%

UPPER

24.37%

TIAFOE WINS 3-2

15.65%

LOWER

13.95%

PREDICTED

15.65%

UPPER

17.51%

VACHEROT WINS 3-1

11.88%

LOWER

9.14%

PREDICTED

11.88%

UPPER

14.40%

VACHEROT WINS 3-2

11.52%

LOWER

8.86%

PREDICTED

11.52%

UPPER

13.95%

VACHEROT WINS 3-0

10.60%

LOWER

8.15%

PREDICTED

10.60%

UPPER

12.84%