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Event
US Open
Round
R32
Surface
HARD
Level
GRAND SLAM
Format
BEST OF 5
Date
2026-09-05

Match preview

Ben SheltonvsDenis Shapovalov

Community consensus

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Model output

Reading model output

  • The bar shows estimated win chance on a 0–100% scale.
  • The middle marker is the best estimate.
  • The range around it shows how certain that estimate is.
  • Wider ranges mean less certainty.
Ben Shelton logo

Ben Shelton

LOWER
71.61%
PREDICTED
77.59%
UPPER
81.97%
Denis Shapovalov logo

Denis Shapovalov

LOWER
18.03%
PREDICTED
22.41%
UPPER
28.39%

Predicted scores

SHELTON WINS 3-0

47.14%

LOWER

43.51%

PREDICTED

47.14%

UPPER

49.80%

SHELTON WINS 3-1

22.06%

LOWER

20.36%

PREDICTED

22.06%

UPPER

23.31%

SHAPOVALOV WINS 3-1

8.55%

LOWER

6.88%

PREDICTED

8.55%

UPPER

10.83%

SHELTON WINS 3-2

8.38%

LOWER

7.74%

PREDICTED

8.38%

UPPER

8.86%

SHAPOVALOV WINS 3-2

7.60%

LOWER

6.12%

PREDICTED

7.60%

UPPER

9.63%

SHAPOVALOV WINS 3-0

6.26%

LOWER

5.04%

PREDICTED

6.26%

UPPER

7.93%